Monday, June 27, 2011

谢罪

由于在稳坐钓鱼台文章里推测今天星期一 27-6-2011 马航成交量会大过 星期五 24-6-2011,

但是它没如推测般超越,反而少了,

所以不得不重新仔细详查演算,到底我在那个阶段出错。

在此我三鞠躬向大家谢罪。



还可加码 MAS 吗?

这问题我不以基本面答,只用心理分析,

技术分析也既是 投资者/投机客 心理分析的图表呈现,


将心比心,我们买 RM1 的股,通常期望赚多少钱卖呢?在多少时间内呢?

10%, 20%, 30%, 50%, double, triple, quadruple,......?

请想想看马航这个超级大庄,10%, 20%, 30%。。。。够喂饱他的胃口吗?

让我们参考 AIRASIA 5years monthly chart (bursa station)



从 2008年6月 80sen 左右的最底点,到 2009年5月突破月线图第一关阻力 1.2左右,

费时接近一年,再经过超过一年的时间,在 2010年8月突破月线图 第二关阻力 RM1.47,

2008年 6 月 的 8毛钱 到今天 2011年 6月 的 RM3.20 左右,

3.20 - 80 = 2.40
100% X 2.4/8 = 300%

从 80sen 到 RM1.60 需花超过 2年。

所以,要加码 MAS 的朋友,

请先问自己打算花多少光阴青春跟 MAS 耗呢?

而且 mas 未必与 airasia 一样,修得正果。


















Sunday, June 26, 2011

MAS 20years daily chart


MAS 20年 daily chart, (bursa station)
大家看到31-5-2011那条青色高高的 vol 吧,
它有本事把下跌的趋势反转过来,
20年来,马航daily trade的 vol 从没有这麽高过,
所以,有这样超级大的庄家作后盾,
恭喜恭喜 RM1.47以下买到的朋友



 chartnexus 放大图













庄家心理

昨天在 “稳坐钓鱼台“ 忘了告诉大家怎麽会在 7-6-2011 前就知道马航已反转了,

在此笔者是用 leading indicator, Candlestick,

从 30-5-2011 及 31-5-2011 两支蜡烛佩其 vol 读出 买家/庄家 心理。

庄家心理

5月30日,31日的大大成交量并非一般普通散户可以承接的下的,也非一般买卖可以产生的。

5月31日的反转马航,RM1.36 开市, RM1.34 是庄家的底线,

庄家不让马航跌过 RM1.34,

接下去几天的调整横摆,量非常少,大量票没出,

笔者把它解读为 庄家看下 谁还愿意卖货吗?

马航的庄家不是 一般散户/基金,而是可以翻手覆云的那种。

庄家藉着马航 2011年第一季业绩亏损2亿多压下吃票,连续两天 gap down open,

而且一天比一天凶,红血淋淋的蜡烛把 散户/普通机构 吓得魂飞魄散,本不愿卖的票都被逼抛售出来,

各媒体,基金经理都不看好马航,





当票收够了,庄家就放出利好消息,

加入“寰宇一家“,購波音飛機,要把业绩搞好,会赚多少又多少啦,

然后迅速拉台,甩脱 后知后觉 RM1.47以下没买到的 普通散户/普通基金/普通机构,

星期五 24-6-2011 RM1.53 收市.


这是MAS的 1 month hourly chart. ( bursa station chart),

RM1.47以下买马航,。。便宜?。。贵?。。

现在这里谈技术分析,基本面改次才谈。

技术方面,RM1.47 以下与庄家一起买非常合理便宜,

macd, moving average, stochastic,  等等都是 lagging indicators.

学技术分析的基本功就要先学好看似平凡的 candlestick,从中读出庄家心理。

Saturday, June 25, 2011

稳坐钓鱼台

今天收到技术派网友的短信息,sms, email ,或朋友的来电等问笔者:
怎麽会在 7-6-2011前就那麽肯定马航反转,
当时媒体,基金经理等都不看好的情形之下,笔者说:bullish MAS, 反转马航
http://musicalwaterfall.blogspot.com/2011/06/bullish-mas.html

技术分析,易学不易精,
大部分股票赚钱,笔者是靠周详策略,基本分析,
还有一股傲气,不随波逐流,不为小钱所动。

这股傲气对笔者来说是必须具备的,
因为笔者周围有很多对股票也有相当深厚功力的人,
他们对世界经济,政治,股市也有他们的看法,
当看法不一致时,笔者会更加细心研究分析。

1.47那条线以下买的朋友,稳坐钓鱼台,恭喜恭喜




27-6-2011 星期一马航的成交量会比 24-6-2011 星期五的多。
















Thursday, June 23, 2011

sapind

它的产品包括避震器(Shock Absorber ),弹簧线圈 (coil spring),
主要顾客 proton, perodua, Volvo, Daihatsu 等等。

18-7-2011 ex dividen 13.8sen,

2011年第一季业绩刚出,每股盈利比去年同季多赚,

30-4-2010 每股赚 6.39sen
30-4-2011 每股赚 7.20sen

可是营业额却跌了 (66827000 - 73670000)/ 73670000  = 9%

它有现金 23,910,000, 借贷长短期总共大慨 7千万。

Wednesday, June 22, 2011

直升机



将来如果看到乘直升机股价的股,回避吧。







Tuesday, June 21, 2011

winsun

WINSUN 14天, 21天, 31天 ema 上穿 200天 ema,

Friday, June 17, 2011

双峰塔

今天,股市很多人亲眼见证了双峰塔的犀利杀伤力

muhibbah double top at RM1.90




Wednesday, June 15, 2011

kimloong





kmloong 14天 ema 上穿 21天, 31天 ema,
macd 呈现 higher low.





15-6-2011 a hammer with ratio of  length of  the  body vs  leg = 1 : 4.

it show bullish sign.

resistance at RM2.23,  RM2.30,  RM2.50.


Tuesday, June 07, 2011

bullish MAS



反转马航,是时候进场了!





Friday, June 03, 2011

季季派息的股 engkah

一年四季,季季派息的股 engkah


ENGKAH - NOTICE OF BOOK CLOSURE

First and final dividend of 8 sen per ordinary share less 28% income tax.

Ex - Dividend : 11 July 2003

Date Payable : 30 July 2003


First and final dividend of 8 sen per ordinary share less 28% income tax.

Ex - Dividend : 13 July 2004

Date Payable : 30 July 2004

Bonus Issue of up to 22,000,000 new ordinary shares of RM1.00 each in ENG KAH CORPORATION BERHAD ("the Company") on the basis of one (1) new ordinary share of RM1.00 each ("Share") for every two (2) existing Shares held ("Bonus Issue").

Ex - Bonus Issue : 10 May 2005


First and final dividend of 8 sen per share less 28% income tax.

Ex – Dividend : 13 July 2005

Date Payable : 29 July 2005


First interim dividend of 5 sen per share tax exempt.

Ex - Dividend : 13 September 2005

Date Payable : 30 September 2005


Second interim dividend of 5 sen per share tax exempt.

Ex - Dividend : 15 December 2005

Date Payable : 30 December 2005



First interim dividend of 5 sen per share.

Ex - Dividend : 14 June

Date Payable : 30 June 2006



Final dividend of 8 sen per share less income tax.

Ex - Dividend : 13 July 2006

Date Payable : 28 July 2006



SECOND INTERIM DIVIDEND OF 5 SEN PER SHARE LESS TAX

Ex - Dividend : 18 September 2006

Date Payable : 29 September 2006



THIRD INTERIM DIVIDEND OF 5 SEN PER SHARE LESS TAX.

Ex – Dividend : 18 December 2006

Date Payable : 29 December 2006



FIRST INTERIM LESS TAX DIVIDEND OF 5 SEN PER SHARE.

Ex - Dividend : 13 June 2007

Date Payable : 30 June 2007



1. Final dividend of 8 sen per share less income tax,

2. Special dividend of 5 sen per share less income tax.

Ex - Dividend : 16 July 2007

Date Payable : 31 July 2007



SECOND INTERIM DIVIDEND OF 5 SEN PER SHARE LESS TAX.

Ex - Dividend : 13 September 2007

Date Payable : 27 September 2007



Third interim dividend of 5 sen per share less tax.

Ex - Dividend : 13 December 2007

Date Payable : 28 December 2007



First Interim Dividend of 5 sen per share less income tax of 26%.

Ex - Dividend" : 12 June 2008

Date Payable : 30 June 2008



Final Dividend of 10 sen per share less income tax of 26% and
Special Dividend of 5 sen per share less income tax of 26%.

Ex – Dividend : 11 July 2008

Date Payable : 30 July 2008



Second Interim Dividend of 5 sen per share less income tax of 26%.

Ex - Dividend : 13 October 2008

Date Payable : 23 October 2008




Third Interim Dividend of 5 sen per share less income tax of 25%

Ex - Dividend" : 8 January 2009

Date Payable : 20 January 2009



First Interim Dividend of 5 sen per share less income tax of 25%.

Ex - Dividend : 26 June 2009

Date Payable : 10 July 2009



Final Dividend of 10 sen per share less 25% income tax and 
 Special Dividend of 5 sen per share less 25% income tax.

Ex - Dividend : 13 July 2009

Date Payable : 8 August 2009



Second Interim Dividend of 5 sen per share less income tax of 25%.

Ex - Dividend : 28 September 2009

Date Payable : 20 October 2009



Third Tax Exempt Interim Dividend of 3.75 sen

Ex - Dividend : [ 15 December 2009 ]

Date Payable : [ 31 December 2009 ]



First Tax Exempt Interim Dividend of 3.75 sen per share

Ex - Dividend : 28 June 2010

Date Payable : [ 16 July 2010 ]



Final Tax Exempt Dividend of 7.5 sen.

Ex - Dividend: 28 July 2010

Date Payable : [ 9 August 2010 ]



Second Tax Exempt Interim Dividend of 3.75 sen per share.

Ex - Dividend : 27 October 2010

Date Payable : [ 12 November 2010 ]




Single-Tier Third Interim Dividend of 3.75 sen per share

Ex - Dividend : 18 January 2011

Date Payable : [ 18 February 2011 ]



Single-tier First Interim Dividend of 5 sen per share.

Ex - Dividend : 15 June 2011



Single-Tier Final Dividend of 7.5 sen per ordinary share.

Ex - Dividend : 29 July 2011

Date Payable : [ 26 August 2011 ]

Thursday, June 02, 2011

MBMR

mbmr 14天 ema 上穿 200天 ema.